NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR MEM
Points 74.5 80.9
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.5 18.8
Shooting UALR MEM
Field Goals Made 27.6 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 60.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 11.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 25.8
Free Throw % 73.1% 72.7%
Ball Control UALR MEM
Rebounds 36.7 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.6
Turnovers 14.1 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.0
Steals 5.1 7.7
Fouls 16.6 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: AR Lit Rock

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR MEM
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 75.7
% of Possessions with UALR MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 18.3% 22.3%
Turnover 19.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR MEM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 34.0%