NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH OHIO
Points 81.5 72.4
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 27.8
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.3
Shooting UTAH OHIO
Field Goals Made 29.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 64.1
Field Goal % 49.2% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 16.6
Free Throw % 63.4% 74.1%
Ball Control UTAH OHIO
Rebounds 43.1 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.3 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.3
Turnovers 11.2 8.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.2
Steals 4.6 5.8
Fouls 14.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH OHIO
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 73.3
% of Possessions with UTAH OHIO
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 33.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.1%
Turnover 15.3% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH OHIO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 20.4%