NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH CCU
Points 88.3 67.8
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 19.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 10.7
Shooting UTAH CCU
Field Goals Made 31.7 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 66.1 64.6
Field Goal % 47.9% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.1% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 12.3 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 15.4
Free Throw % 63.4% 69.4%
Ball Control UTAH CCU
Rebounds 43.2 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.8
Turnovers 7.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.2
Steals 7.0 4.6
Fouls 12.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH CCU
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 78.0 73.3
% of Possessions with UTAH CCU
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 39.3% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.9% 17.1%
Turnover 10.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH CCU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 21.3%