NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH CCAR
Points 77.1 70.7
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 20.7
Points From Free Throws 21.5 9.9
Shooting UTAH CCAR
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 62.1
Field Goal % 46.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 21.5 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 29.6 14.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.3%
Ball Control UTAH CCAR
Rebounds 34.4 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.7
Turnovers 12.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 13.2 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH CCAR
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 71.7
% of Possessions with UTAH CCAR
2 Point Attempt 34.0% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 24.1%
Player Fouled 30.1% 18.1%
Turnover 17.1% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH CCAR
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 31.3%