NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH ASU
Points 77.8 69.2
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.5
Shooting UTAH ASU
Field Goals Made 28.1 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 63.5
Field Goal % 46.3% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.6
Free Throw % 63.4% 65.3%
Ball Control UTAH ASU
Rebounds 43.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 7.5
Turnovers 12.0 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.6
Steals 4.7 7.3
Fouls 14.2 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH ASU
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 73.7
% of Possessions with UTAH ASU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 28.3%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.1%
Turnover 16.1% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH ASU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 18.1%