NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH INST
Points 80.7 83.2
Total Points   163.9
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 34.1
Points From Free Throws 9.5 13.7
Shooting UTAH INST
Field Goals Made 31.0 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 62.4
Field Goal % 48.7% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 9.5 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 17.0
Free Throw % 63.4% 80.7%
Ball Control UTAH INST
Rebounds 36.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 6.3
Turnovers 9.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 1.5
Steals 5.4 5.1
Fouls 14.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH INST
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 71.8
% of Possessions with UTAH INST
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 37.9%
Player Fouled 19.9% 19.2%
Turnover 12.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH INST
Shot Blocked 2.5% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 18.3%