NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO VMI
Points 74.6 65.9
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 16.9
Points From Free Throws 11.6 12.4
Shooting IDHO VMI
Field Goals Made 27.3 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.3
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 11.6 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 17.6
Free Throw % 74.3% 70.4%
Ball Control IDHO VMI
Rebounds 35.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.4
Turnovers 10.5 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.5
Steals 6.7 5.4
Fouls 14.9 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO VMI
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 66.9
% of Possessions with IDHO VMI
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 22.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.6%
Turnover 14.5% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO VMI
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 21.1%