NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO SUU
Points 69.6 73.6
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 17.7
Points From Free Throws 9.9 17.0
Shooting IDHO SUU
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 54.9
Field Goal % 45.8% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 9.9 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 23.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.3%
Ball Control IDHO SUU
Rebounds 32.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.6
Turnovers 11.1 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 4.7 6.1
Fouls 17.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO SUU
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 69.1
% of Possessions with IDHO SUU
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 24.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 25.6%
Turnover 15.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO SUU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 25.8%