NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV GRC
Points 59.9 84.8
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 44.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 20.2
Points From Free Throws 16.5 20.5
Shooting UTRGV GRC
Field Goals Made 19.4 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.1
Field Goal % 34.5% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.5% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 26.9
Free Throw % 71.1% 76.0%
Ball Control UTRGV GRC
Rebounds 29.5 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.0
Turnovers 13.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 7.2
Steals 6.0 8.0
Fouls 17.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV GRC
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 75.4
% of Possessions with UTRGV GRC
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 23.5%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.6%
Turnover 18.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV GRC
Shot Blocked 12.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 36.1%