NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV UTECH
Points 70.4 77.9
Total Points   148.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 18.7
Points From Free Throws 20.6 14.7
Shooting UTRGV UTECH
Field Goals Made 22.3 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 56.7
Field Goal % 40.2% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 20.6 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 29.0 23.2
Free Throw % 71.1% 63.3%
Ball Control UTRGV UTECH
Rebounds 32.1 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.7
Turnovers 13.1 15.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.4
Steals 8.5 6.4
Fouls 17.5 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV UTECH
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 71.6
% of Possessions with UTRGV UTECH
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 21.8%
Player Fouled 25.0% 22.7%
Turnover 17.0% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV UTECH
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 29.1%