NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST MOSU
Points 67.9 74.6
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 18.4
Points From Free Throws 10.4 15.7
Shooting CLEVST MOSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 66.9 57.6
Field Goal % 38.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 10.4 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 22.3
Free Throw % 65.8% 70.3%
Ball Control CLEVST MOSU
Rebounds 35.2 43.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.7
Turnovers 6.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.0
Steals 6.9 3.2
Fouls 15.8 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST MOSU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 71.2
% of Possessions with CLEVST MOSU
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 25.5%
Player Fouled 17.7% 22.3%
Turnover 9.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST MOSU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 33.8%