NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST BGSU
Points 74.7 72.3
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.4 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 15.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 17.9
Shooting CLEVST BGSU
Field Goals Made 28.9 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 56.7
Field Goal % 45.7% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 26.7%
Free Throws Made 10.8 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 24.7
Free Throw % 65.8% 72.7%
Ball Control CLEVST BGSU
Rebounds 34.7 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.3
Turnovers 8.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.4
Steals 6.8 4.4
Fouls 16.7 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST BGSU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 71.7
% of Possessions with CLEVST BGSU
2 Point Attempt 55.0% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 23.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.4%
Turnover 11.7% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST BGSU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 31.7%