NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST CP
Points 69.9 64.8
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.2
Shooting PRST CP
Field Goals Made 23.1 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 53.5
Field Goal % 40.0% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 20.1
Free Throw % 69.4% 70.9%
Ball Control PRST CP
Rebounds 39.9 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 7.8
Turnovers 10.4 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.6
Steals 6.4 4.5
Fouls 17.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST CP
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 65.8
% of Possessions with PRST CP
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 22.5%
Player Fouled 24.0% 24.5%
Turnover 14.8% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST CP
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 22.8%