NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN KU
Points 74.7 66.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.1
Shooting TENN KU
Field Goals Made 24.8 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 57.3
Field Goal % 40.2% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.2 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 19.7
Free Throw % 75.4% 71.4%
Ball Control TENN KU
Rebounds 39.1 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.5
Turnovers 9.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.3
Steals 7.1 5.8
Fouls 14.4 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN KU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 69.1
% of Possessions with TENN KU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 22.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.0%
Turnover 12.5% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN KU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 23.0%