NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN AUB
Points 71.8 71.7
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 22.6
Points From Free Throws 21.2 18.0
Shooting TENN AUB
Field Goals Made 22.0 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 57.6
Field Goal % 36.7% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 21.2 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 24.1
Free Throw % 75.4% 74.8%
Ball Control TENN AUB
Rebounds 41.3 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.4
Turnovers 9.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.8
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 16.7 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN AUB
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 72.2
% of Possessions with TENN AUB
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 27.3%
Player Fouled 24.8% 23.0%
Turnover 13.3% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN AUB
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 27.6%