NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN USC
Points 78.7 65.2
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 21.7
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.5
Shooting TENN USC
Field Goals Made 26.0 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 56.7
Field Goal % 41.9% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 42.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 20.8
Free Throw % 75.4% 69.5%
Ball Control TENN USC
Rebounds 41.4 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.5
Turnovers 10.1 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.1
Steals 7.7 6.4
Fouls 15.4 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN USC
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 69.3
% of Possessions with TENN USC
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.1%
Turnover 13.8% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN USC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 24.9%