NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM TAM
Points 67.3 87.8
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 28.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 21.2
Shooting ULM TAM
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 60.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.4 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 29.8
Free Throw % 66.8% 71.3%
Ball Control ULM TAM
Rebounds 31.4 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 15.3
Turnovers 10.9 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.8
Steals 3.7 6.1
Fouls 18.6 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM TAM
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 78.9
% of Possessions with ULM TAM
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 32.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 26.4%
Turnover 15.5% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM TAM
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 41.4%