NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM JMU
Points 65.5 85.6
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 31.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 16.9
Shooting ULM JMU
Field Goals Made 22.3 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 56.9
Field Goal % 40.3% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 24.2
Free Throw % 66.8% 69.7%
Ball Control ULM JMU
Rebounds 33.8 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.3
Turnovers 12.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.0
Steals 5.5 7.3
Fouls 16.8 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM JMU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 72.0
% of Possessions with ULM JMU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 32.2%
Player Fouled 23.9% 23.2%
Turnover 17.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM JMU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 28.7%