NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULM SFA
Points 67.5 76.2
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 23.6
Points From Free Throws 18.4 19.5
Shooting ULM SFA
Field Goals Made 22.0 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 51.5
Field Goal % 42.5% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 18.4 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 27.7
Free Throw % 66.8% 70.3%
Ball Control ULM SFA
Rebounds 33.1 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.0
Turnovers 14.4 13.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.7
Steals 6.8 7.2
Fouls 20.2 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULM SFA
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.2
% of Possessions with ULM SFA
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 26.6% 27.8%
Turnover 19.9% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULM SFA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 31.1%