NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW LBSU
Points 74.4 72.1
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 11.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 16.1
Shooting HAW LBSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 59.7
Field Goal % 44.3% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 3.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 12.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.5
Free Throw % 72.5% 71.5%
Ball Control HAW LBSU
Rebounds 34.9 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.9
Turnovers 12.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.5
Steals 3.9 6.6
Fouls 17.6 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW LBSU
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 73.7
% of Possessions with HAW LBSU
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 56.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 15.4%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.1%
Turnover 17.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW LBSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 26.6%