NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW ORE
Points 67.1 76.7
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 15.6
Points From Free Throws 13.8 14.8
Shooting HAW ORE
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 57.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.8 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 20.4
Free Throw % 72.5% 72.9%
Ball Control HAW ORE
Rebounds 31.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.7
Turnovers 12.5 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.4
Steals 3.3 6.7
Fouls 16.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW ORE
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 69.6
% of Possessions with HAW ORE
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 20.4%
Player Fouled 21.8% 24.2%
Turnover 17.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW ORE
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 23.9%