NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP GRC
Points 64.8 77.0
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 19.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 20.7
Shooting PEPP GRC
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 53.6
Field Goal % 39.7% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 27.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 76.0%
Ball Control PEPP GRC
Rebounds 32.6 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.9
Turnovers 12.0 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.6
Steals 4.3 6.9
Fouls 17.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Pepperdine

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP GRC
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 70.5
% of Possessions with PEPP GRC
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 21.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 24.6%
Turnover 16.8% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP GRC
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 30.5%