NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP SCU
Points 69.2 77.5
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 15.3 13.8
Shooting PEPP SCU
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 57.1
Field Goal % 41.9% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.3 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 19.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 69.6%
Ball Control PEPP SCU
Rebounds 31.0 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.2
Turnovers 8.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.1
Steals 4.9 4.1
Fouls 15.7 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Pepperdine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP SCU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 69.8
% of Possessions with PEPP SCU
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 23.1%
Player Fouled 24.8% 22.2%
Turnover 12.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP SCU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 31.5%