NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP SF
Points 64.3 76.5
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 22.6
Points From Free Throws 15.0 11.3
Shooting PEPP SF
Field Goals Made 21.5 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 57.2
Field Goal % 41.7% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 15.0 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 15.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.2%
Ball Control PEPP SF
Rebounds 29.9 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.1
Turnovers 12.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.9
Steals 4.2 7.0
Fouls 13.8 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP SF
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 67.0
% of Possessions with PEPP SF
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 25.5%
Player Fouled 26.1% 19.8%
Turnover 17.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP SF
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 26.3%