NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP LMU
Points 71.5 72.2
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 21.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 12.2
Shooting PEPP LMU
Field Goals Made 26.5 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 12.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 73.7%
Ball Control PEPP LMU
Rebounds 32.7 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.7
Turnovers 6.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.1
Steals 4.0 3.0
Fouls 13.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP LMU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 66.4
% of Possessions with PEPP LMU
2 Point Attempt 54.1% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.5% 19.9%
Turnover 10.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 4.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP LMU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 27.1%