NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP RICE
Points 74.7 72.4
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 11.3 12.9
Shooting PEPP RICE
Field Goals Made 27.5 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 55.8
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 18.7
Free Throw % 69.8% 69.2%
Ball Control PEPP RICE
Rebounds 34.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.0
Turnovers 9.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 5.2 4.8
Fouls 14.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP RICE
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 67.1
% of Possessions with PEPP RICE
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.6%
Turnover 13.3% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP RICE
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 24.5%