NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP PORT
Points 78.4 71.3
Total Points   149.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 25.1
Points From Free Throws 9.8 12.3
Shooting PEPP PORT
Field Goals Made 29.5 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 55.1
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 9.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 17.3
Free Throw % 69.8% 70.9%
Ball Control PEPP PORT
Rebounds 34.7 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 6.7
Turnovers 7.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.4
Steals 4.7 3.4
Fouls 15.5 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP PORT
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 65.5
% of Possessions with PEPP PORT
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.4%
Turnover 11.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP PORT
Shot Blocked 2.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 20.7%