NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP PAC
Points 81.0 65.2
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 16.6
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.0
Shooting PEPP PAC
Field Goals Made 28.7 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 51.8
Field Goal % 50.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 21.6
Free Throw % 69.8% 65.1%
Ball Control PEPP PAC
Rebounds 38.6 26.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 5.4
Turnovers 9.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.6
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 17.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP PAC
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 64.4
% of Possessions with PEPP PAC
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 20.8%
Player Fouled 23.9% 24.4%
Turnover 13.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP PAC
Shot Blocked 3.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 16.2%