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Northwestern at Wisconsin
Wed Jan 20, 2021
8:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Northwestern at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 11.5, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-2 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 11-12-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 8-11-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| WIS -11.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1647 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 1440 times (87.4%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 207 times (12.6%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 827-795-25 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 155 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 81-74 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.5 | -11.5 | -12.0 |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/20 08:04 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 01/20 07:50 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 07:35 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 06:54 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 01/20 06:47 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 06:08 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 05:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 01/20 05:20 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 04:26 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:47 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 01/20 03:23 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 03:05 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 01/20 02:59 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 02:17 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 01/20 11:56 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:38 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 01/20 11:14 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 01/20 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 01/20 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/20 10:20 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:59 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 01/20 08:54 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 01/20 08:47 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/20 08:11 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 05:44 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/20 05:35 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 02:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/20 12:56 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 09:35 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/19 06:11 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 05:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/19 05:20 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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