NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH ME
Points 68.7 70.0
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 16.9
Points From Free Throws 13.2 10.8
Shooting UNH ME
Field Goals Made 24.4 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 58.6
Field Goal % 42.4% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 15.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.4%
Ball Control UNH ME
Rebounds 35.4 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 6.5
Turnovers 12.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.0
Steals 6.6 8.8
Fouls 12.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH ME
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 68.0
% of Possessions with UNH ME
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 25.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 17.6%
Turnover 17.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH ME
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 19.1%