NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH QUIN
Points 72.6 80.1
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 22.1
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.2
Shooting UNH QUIN
Field Goals Made 25.1 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 64.5
Field Goal % 41.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 15.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.5%
Ball Control UNH QUIN
Rebounds 32.9 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.0
Turnovers 12.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.2
Steals 6.3 8.1
Fouls 11.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH QUIN
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 74.9
% of Possessions with UNH QUIN
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.7% 15.8%
Turnover 16.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH QUIN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 30.3%