NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ UCLA
Points 77.8 64.0
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 16.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 12.8
Shooting ARIZ UCLA
Field Goals Made 26.2 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 57.9
Field Goal % 46.2% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 17.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 17.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 74.3%
Ball Control ARIZ UCLA
Rebounds 40.6 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 8.5
Turnovers 10.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 6.2 5.5
Fouls 15.8 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ UCLA
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.6
% of Possessions with ARIZ UCLA
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 22.5%
Player Fouled 26.1% 22.3%
Turnover 14.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 22.6%