NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL OSU
Points 67.7 68.7
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 23.1
Points From Free Throws 11.8 11.6
Shooting VILL OSU
Field Goals Made 23.6 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 57.9
Field Goal % 40.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 11.8 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 15.4
Free Throw % 79.7% 75.2%
Ball Control VILL OSU
Rebounds 34.5 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.1
Turnovers 8.7 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.9
Steals 4.3 4.7
Fouls 14.9 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Villanova

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL OSU
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 67.3
% of Possessions with VILL OSU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 30.7%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.0%
Turnover 12.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL OSU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 22.9%