NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL OSU
Points 69.8 65.6
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.8 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 19.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 11.9
Shooting VILL OSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 53.9
Field Goal % 43.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 10.3 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 15.7
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.8%
Ball Control VILL OSU
Rebounds 31.8 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 6.9
Turnovers 9.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.5
Steals 4.5 4.1
Fouls 15.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Villanova

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL OSU
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 63.6
% of Possessions with VILL OSU
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 38.9% 25.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.8%
Turnover 13.6% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL OSU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 21.4%