NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UK UGA
Points 89.4 76.7
Total Points   166.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 28.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.1
Shooting UK UGA
Field Goals Made 33.1 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 66.1 63.5
Field Goal % 50.0% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 22.5
Free Throw % 78.2% 71.6%
Ball Control UK UGA
Rebounds 40.5 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.3
Turnovers 9.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 6.6 2.9
Steals 6.7 5.6
Fouls 15.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UK UGA
Total Possessions 77.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 75.9
% of Possessions with UK UGA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 17.5% 20.3%
Turnover 12.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UK UGA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 22.8%