NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL BUT
Points 72.7 70.4
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 28.8
Points From Free Throws 9.5 10.4
Shooting VILL BUT
Field Goals Made 26.9 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 58.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 9.5 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 13.0
Free Throw % 79.7% 80.1%
Ball Control VILL BUT
Rebounds 35.6 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 6.5
Turnovers 8.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.3
Steals 6.2 5.0
Fouls 13.0 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL BUT
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 66.5
% of Possessions with VILL BUT
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 36.4%
Player Fouled 16.0% 18.7%
Turnover 12.7% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL BUT
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 18.6%