NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ STAN
Points 88.4 72.7
Total Points   161.1
Points From 2-Pointers 48.0 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 10.7
Shooting ARIZ STAN
Field Goals Made 32.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 60.7
Field Goal % 49.6% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.0 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 14.5
Free Throw % 71.0% 73.9%
Ball Control ARIZ STAN
Rebounds 41.0 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 6.3
Turnovers 10.0 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.0
Steals 8.5 5.2
Fouls 14.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ STAN
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 78.3 69.5
% of Possessions with ARIZ STAN
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.7%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.7%
Turnover 13.0% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ STAN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 17.4%