NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV GW
Points 74.8 70.9
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 26.2
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.2
Shooting DAV GW
Field Goals Made 27.4 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 56.3
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 20.2
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.4%
Ball Control DAV GW
Rebounds 37.3 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.8
Turnovers 8.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.6
Steals 6.3 5.4
Fouls 13.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV GW
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 68.0
% of Possessions with DAV GW
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 31.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 19.2%
Turnover 11.4% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV GW
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 22.1%