NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW NEB
Points 74.5 75.1
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 30.3 27.0
Points From Free Throws 12.2 15.4
Shooting NW NEB
Field Goals Made 26.1 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 53.2
Field Goal % 43.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 20.2
Free Throw % 75.6% 76.0%
Ball Control NW NEB
Rebounds 32.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.6
Turnovers 7.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.6
Steals 6.4 4.5
Fouls 14.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW NEB
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 65.0
% of Possessions with NW NEB
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 31.4%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.3%
Turnover 11.4% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW NEB
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 21.9%