NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU ALA
Points 76.0 86.7
Total Points   162.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 30.6
Points From Free Throws 20.2 19.6
Shooting KSU ALA
Field Goals Made 24.6 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 65.2
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 20.2 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 25.6
Free Throw % 71.9% 76.4%
Ball Control KSU ALA
Rebounds 36.7 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 14.4
Turnovers 12.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.3
Steals 5.5 7.5
Fouls 18.1 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU ALA
Total Possessions 76.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 80.9
% of Possessions with KSU ALA
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 32.8%
Player Fouled 24.6% 23.7%
Turnover 16.7% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU ALA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 36.0%