NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK JAC
Points 68.3 71.5
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 18.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 20.7
Shooting COOK JAC
Field Goals Made 22.6 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 50.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 18.2 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 29.6
Free Throw % 75.9% 69.8%
Ball Control COOK JAC
Rebounds 29.5 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.8
Turnovers 11.7 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.3
Steals 8.9 7.7
Fouls 18.5 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Beth-Cook

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK JAC
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 69.7
% of Possessions with COOK JAC
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 20.9%
Player Fouled 24.7% 26.1%
Turnover 16.5% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK JAC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 38.3%