NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH BC
Points 66.9 83.2
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 46.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 25.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.4
Shooting UNH BC
Field Goals Made 23.3 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 62.2
Field Goal % 39.0% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 61.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 15.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 74.4%
Ball Control UNH BC
Rebounds 31.3 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.6
Turnovers 11.2 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.6
Steals 5.7 6.9
Fouls 12.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH BC
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 71.9
% of Possessions with UNH BC
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 29.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 17.9%
Turnover 15.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH BC
Shot Blocked 7.5% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 26.3%