NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB EWU
Points 74.9 78.0
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 23.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 15.5
Shooting WEB EWU
Field Goals Made 25.1 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 49.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 55.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 66.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.1
Free Throw % 73.7% 77.5%
Ball Control WEB EWU
Rebounds 27.0 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.3 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 5.8
Turnovers 9.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.7
Steals 6.9 4.1
Fouls 17.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB EWU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 62.4
% of Possessions with WEB EWU
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 24.4% 25.7%
Turnover 13.0% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB EWU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 23.2%