NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV LAS
Points 72.8 67.5
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 24.4
Points From Free Throws 14.8 11.1
Shooting DAV LAS
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 59.8
Field Goal % 44.6% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 15.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.6%
Ball Control DAV LAS
Rebounds 38.2 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.9
Turnovers 8.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.1
Steals 4.8 5.6
Fouls 13.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV LAS
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 68.8
% of Possessions with DAV LAS
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 30.8%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.2%
Turnover 12.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV LAS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 23.7%