NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK ARPB
Points 80.2 74.2
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 25.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 27.5
Points From Free Throws 16.9 21.7
Shooting COOK ARPB
Field Goals Made 28.6 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 50.4
Field Goal % 45.6% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 12.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 25.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 21.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 28.9
Free Throw % 75.9% 75.0%
Ball Control COOK ARPB
Rebounds 37.5 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 6.5
Turnovers 9.5 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.2
Steals 8.6 5.1
Fouls 19.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Beth-Cook

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK ARPB
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 77.1 67.6
% of Possessions with COOK ARPB
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 30.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 26.0%
Turnover 12.6% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK ARPB
Shot Blocked 2.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 19.9%