NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH ALBY
Points 80.8 82.5
Total Points   163.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.8 47.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 23.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 12.2
Shooting UNH ALBY
Field Goals Made 28.6 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 64.6
Field Goal % 47.8% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 16.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.9%
Ball Control UNH ALBY
Rebounds 33.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.0
Turnovers 12.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.8
Steals 7.2 8.3
Fouls 12.5 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH ALBY
Total Possessions 77.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 75.3
% of Possessions with UNH ALBY
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 28.6%
Player Fouled 22.3% 16.2%
Turnover 15.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH ALBY
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 27.8%