NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW IOWA
Points 80.2 79.0
Total Points   159.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 19.0
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.4
Shooting NW IOWA
Field Goals Made 28.1 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 54.6
Field Goal % 46.8% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 42.8% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 22.5
Free Throw % 75.6% 77.4%
Ball Control NW IOWA
Rebounds 31.8 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 6.6
Turnovers 8.0 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 6.2 4.6
Fouls 16.0 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW IOWA
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 67.7
% of Possessions with NW IOWA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 22.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.7%
Turnover 11.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW IOWA
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.1%