NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU IOWA
Points 77.4 78.1
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 17.8
Points From Free Throws 17.2 19.2
Shooting KSU IOWA
Field Goals Made 26.3 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 61.6
Field Goal % 45.6% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 17.2 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 24.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 77.4%
Ball Control KSU IOWA
Rebounds 38.7 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.4
Turnovers 12.8 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.4
Steals 4.8 7.1
Fouls 16.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU IOWA
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 76.3
% of Possessions with KSU IOWA
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 21.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.7%
Turnover 17.2% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 27.4%