NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL STJOE
Points 71.1 68.9
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 33.0
Points From Free Throws 12.1 9.2
Shooting VILL STJOE
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 58.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 25.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.1 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 12.8
Free Throw % 79.7% 71.9%
Ball Control VILL STJOE
Rebounds 36.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.6
Turnovers 9.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.0
Steals 5.5 5.9
Fouls 12.9 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL STJOE
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 66.3
% of Possessions with VILL STJOE
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 33.5%
3 Point Attempt 38.5% 42.7%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.9%
Turnover 13.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL STJOE
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 21.2%