NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV NE
Points 70.7 64.1
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 17.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.3
Shooting DAV NE
Field Goals Made 25.2 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 54.2
Field Goal % 46.4% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 16.8
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.5%
Ball Control DAV NE
Rebounds 31.4 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.5
Turnovers 9.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 6.3 6.0
Fouls 13.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV NE
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 64.8
% of Possessions with DAV NE
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.0%
Turnover 14.8% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV NE
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 28.5%