NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU AMCC
Points 71.1 71.1
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 13.6
Points From Free Throws 19.7 16.6
Shooting ACU AMCC
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 57.4
Field Goal % 45.2% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 19.7 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 23.2
Free Throw % 73.4% 71.6%
Ball Control ACU AMCC
Rebounds 32.0 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 11.2
Turnovers 12.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.5
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 16.8 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU AMCC
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 72.3
% of Possessions with ACU AMCC
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 17.1%
Player Fouled 27.5% 23.0%
Turnover 16.9% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU AMCC
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 31.0%