NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK UCF
Points 58.4 78.3
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 20.0
Points From Free Throws 17.3 23.8
Shooting COOK UCF
Field Goals Made 18.2 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 51.1
Field Goal % 34.5% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 36.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 23.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 34.7
Free Throw % 75.9% 68.6%
Ball Control COOK UCF
Rebounds 28.7 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 12.9
Turnovers 14.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.8
Steals 7.4 9.5
Fouls 20.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Beth-Cook

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK UCF
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 73.1
% of Possessions with COOK UCF
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 21.5%
Player Fouled 22.4% 27.7%
Turnover 19.5% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK UCF
Shot Blocked 9.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 38.4%